Professor Jeremy Oakley

School of Mathematical and Physical Sciences

Head of School

Professor of Statistics

j.oakley@sheffield.ac.uk
+44 114 222 3853

Full contact details

Professor Jeremy Oakley
School of Mathematical and Physical Sciences
I16
Hicks Building
Hounsfield Road
Sheffield
S3 7RH
Profile

Professor Oakley obtained his BSc (1996) in Mathematics and Statistics from the University of Nottingham, and his PhD (2000) in Statistics from the University of Sheffield. He has worked as a post- doctoral research associate in both the Department of Computer Science and Department of Probability and Statistics, University of Sheffield, before starting a lectureship in Probability and Statistics in 2002. He has various research interests in Bayesian statistics including uncertainty quantification for computer models, prior elicitation and Bayesian methods in health economics.

Publications

Show: Featured publications All publications

Journal articles

  • Coveny S, Roney C, Corrado C, Wilkinson R, Oakley J, Niederer S & Clayton R (2022) . Scientific Reports, 12.
  • Coveny S, Corrado C, Oakley J, Wilkinson R, Niederer S & Clayton R (2021) . Frontiers in Physiology, 12.
  • Coveney S, Corrado C, Roney CH, O’Hare D, Williams SE, O’Neill MD, Niederer SA, Clayton RH, Oakley JE & Wilkinson RD (2020) . Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, 378(2173).
  • Coveney S, Corrado C, Roney C, Wilkinson R, Oakley J, Lindgren F, Williams S, O'Neill M, Niederer S & Clayton R (2020) . IEEE Transactions on Biomedical Engineering, 67(1), 99-109.
  • Ren S, Oakley JE & Stevens JW (2018) . Medical Decision Making, 38(4), 531-542.
  • McKinley TJ, Vernon I, Andrianakis I, McCreesh N, Oakley JE, Nsubuga RN, Goldstein M & White RG (2018) . Statistical science : a review journal of the Institute of Mathematical Statistics, 33(1), 4-18.
  • Andrianakis I, McCreesh N, Vernon I, McKinley TJ, Oakley JE, Nsugua RN, Goldstein M & White RG (2017) . SIAM/ASA Journal on Uncertainty Quantification, 5(1), 694-719.
  • Oakley JE & Youngman BD (2017) . Technometrics, 59(1), 80-92.
  • Andrianakis I, Vernon IR, McCreesh N, McKinley TJ, Oakley JE, Nsubuga RN, Goldstein M & White RG (2015) . PLOS Computational Biology, 11(1).
  • Strong M, Oakley JE & Brennan A (2014) . Medical Decision Making, 34(3), 311-326.
  • Strong M & Oakley JE (2014) . SIAM/ASA Journal on Uncertainty Quantification, 2(1), 106-125.
  • Ren S & Oakley JE (2014) . Statistics in Medicine, 33(1), 31-45.
  • Morris DE, Oakley JE & Crowe JA (2014) . Environmental Modelling and Software, 52, 1-4.
  • Fricker TE, Oakley JE & Urban NM (2013) . Technometrics, 55(1), 47-56.
  • Strong M, Oakley JE & Chilcott J (2011) Managing structural uncertainty in health economic decision models: A discrepancy approach. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series C: Applied Statistics.
  • Alhussain ZA & Oakley JE () . Pharmaceutical Statistics.

All publications

Books

  • O'Hagan A, Buck CE, Daneshkhah A, Eiser JR, Garthwaite PH, Jenkinson DJ, Oakley JE & Rakow T (2006) . Wiley.

Journal articles

  • Salsbury JA, Oakley JE, Julious SA & Hampson LV (2024) . Statistics in Medicine, 43(19), 3595-3612.
  • Fathi F, Oakley JE & de Borst R (2024) . International Journal for Numerical Methods in Engineering, 125(16).
  • Jurek L, Baltazar M, Gulati S, Novakovic N, Núñez M, Oakley J & O’Hagan A (2023) . European Child & Adolescent Psychiatry, 32(2), 367-367.
  • Coveny S, Roney C, Corrado C, Wilkinson R, Oakley J, Niederer S & Clayton R (2022) . Scientific Reports, 12.
  • Coveney S, Corrado C, Oakley JE, Wilkinson RD, Niederer SA & Clayton RH (2021) . Frontiers in Physiology, 12, 765622-765622.
  • Coveny S, Corrado C, Oakley J, Wilkinson R, Niederer S & Clayton R (2021) . Frontiers in Physiology, 12.
  • Jurek L, Balthazar M, Gulati S, Novakovic N, Núñez M, Oakley J & O'Hagan A (2021) . European Child and Adolescent Psychiatry.
  • Coveney S, Corrado C, Roney CH, O’Hare D, Williams SE, O’Neill MD, Niederer SA, Clayton RH, Oakley JE & Wilkinson RD (2020) . Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, 378(2173).
  • Corrado C, Razeghi O, Roney C, Coveney S, Williams S, Sim I, O'Neill M, Wilkinson R, Oakley J, Clayton R & Niederer S (2020) . Medical Image Analysis, 61.
  • Stevenson M, Uttley L, Oakley JE, Carroll C, Chick SE & Wong R (2020) . Health Technology Assessment, 24(11), 1-150.
  • Coveney S, Corrado C, Roney C, Wilkinson R, Oakley J, Lindgren F, Williams S, O'Neill M, Niederer S & Clayton R (2020) . IEEE Transactions on Biomedical Engineering, 67(1), 99-109.
  • McCreesh N, Andrianakis I, Nsubuga RN, Strong M, Vernon I, McKinley TJ, Oakley J, Goldstein M, Hayes R & White R (2018) . PLoS ONE, 13(5).
  • Ren S, Oakley JE & Stevens JW (2018) . Medical Decision Making, 38(4), 531-542.
  • McKinley TJ, Vernon I, Andrianakis I, McCreesh N, Oakley JE, Nsubuga RN, Goldstein M & White RG (2018) . Statistical science : a review journal of the Institute of Mathematical Statistics, 33(1), 4-18.
  • McCreesh N, Andrianakis I, Nsubuga RN, Strong M, Vernon I, McKinley TJ, Oakley JE, Goldstein M, Hayes R & White RG (2017) . BMC Infectious Diseases, 17(1).
  • Andrianakis I, McCreesh N, Vernon I, McKinley TJ, Oakley JE, Nsugua RN, Goldstein M & White RG (2017) . SIAM/ASA Journal on Uncertainty Quantification, 5(1), 694-719.
  • Andrianakis I, Vernon I, McCreesh N, McKinley TJ, Oakley JE, Nsubuga RN, Goldstein M & White RG (2017) . Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series C (Applied Statistics), 66(4), 717-740.
  • McCreesh N, Andrianakis I, Nsubuga RN, Strong M, Vernon I, McKinley TJ, Oakley JE, Goldstein M, Hayes R & White RG (2017) . BMC Infectious Diseases, 17(1), 322.
  • Oakley JE & Youngman BD (2017) . Technometrics, 59(1), 80-92.
  • Strong M, Oakley JE, Brennan A & Breeze P (2015) . Medical Decision Making, 35(5), 570-583.
  • Andrianakis I, Vernon IR, McCreesh N, McKinley TJ, Oakley JE, Nsubuga RN, Goldstein M & White RG (2015) . PLOS Computational Biology, 11(1).
  • Strong M, Oakley JE & Brennan A (2014) . Medical Decision Making, 34(3), 311-326.
  • Strong M & Oakley JE (2014) . SIAM/ASA Journal on Uncertainty Quantification, 2(1), 106-125.
  • Ren S & Oakley JE (2014) . Statistics in Medicine, 33(1), 31-45.
  • Morris DE, Oakley JE & Crowe JA (2014) . Environmental Modelling and Software, 52, 1-4.
  • Strong M, Brennan A & Oakley J (2013) . Trials, 14(S1).
  • Fricker TE, Oakley JE & Urban NM (2013) . Technometrics, 55(1), 47-56.
  • Strong M & Oakley JE (2013) . Med Decis Making, 33(6), 755-766.
  • Becker W, Oakley JE, Surace C, Gili P, Rowson J & Worden K (2012) Bayesian sensitivity analysis of a nonlinear finite element model. Mechanical Systems and Signal Processing.
  • Wilkinson RD, Vrettas M, Cornford D & Oakley JE (2011) . Journal of Agricultural Biological and Environmental Statistics, 16(4), 554-570.
  • Strong M, Oakley JE & Chilcott J (2011) Managing structural uncertainty in health economic decision models: A discrepancy approach. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series C: Applied Statistics.
  • Becker W, Rowson J, Oakley JE, Yoxall A, Manson G & Worden K (2011) . Journal of Biomechanics, 44(8), 1499-1506.
  • Becker W, Rowson J, Oakley JE, Yoxall A, Manson G & Worden K (2011) . J Biomech, 44(8), 1499-1506.
  • Strong M & Oakley JE (2011) . Med Decis Making, 31(4), 571-581.
  • Wilkinson RD, Vrettas M, Cornford D & Oakley JE (2011) Quantifying Simulator Discrepancy in Discrete-Time Dynamical Simulators. Journal of Agricultural, Biological, and Environmental Statistics, 1-17.
  • Fricker TE, Oakley JE, Sims ND & Worden K (2011) . Mechanical Systems and Signal Processing, 25(8), 2962-2975.
  • Oakley JE, Brennan A, Tappenden P & Chilcott J (2010) . J Health Econ, 29(3), 468-477.
  • Stevenson MD, Oakley JE, Chick SE & Chalkidou K (2009) . J OPER RES SOC, 60(4), 506-518.
  • Conti S, Gosling JP, Oakley JE & O'Hagan A (2009) . BIOMETRIKA, 96(3), 663-676.
  • Stevenson MD, Oakley JE, Lloyd Jones M, Brennan A, Compston JE, McCloskey EV & Selby PL (2009) . Med Decis Making, 29(6), 678-689.
  • Oakley JE (2009) . TECHNOMETRICS, 51(2), 121-129.
  • Nixon RM, O'Hagan A, Oakley J, Madan J, Stevens JW, Bansback N & Brennan A (2009) . PHARM STAT, 8(4), 371-389.
  • Karnon J, McIntosh A, Dean J, Bath P, Hutchinson A, Oakley J, Thomas N, Pratt P, Freeman-Parry L, Karsh B-T , Gandhi T et al (2008) . J Health Serv Res Policy, 13(2), 85-91.
  • Coyle D & Oakley J (2008) . European Journal of Health Economics, 9(3), 251-259.
  • Gosling JP, Oakley JE & O'Hagan A (2007) Nonparametric elicitation for heavy-tailed prior distributions. BAYESIAN ANAL, 2(4), 693-718.
  • Karnon J, McIntosh A, Dean J, Bath P, Hutchinson A, Oakley J, Thomas N, Pratt P, Freeman-Parry L, Karsh BT , Gandhi T et al (2007) . SAFETY SCI, 45(4), 523-539.
  • Oakley JE & O'Hagan A (2007) . BIOMETRIKA, 94(2), 427-441.
  • Stevenson MD, Brazier JE, Calvert NW, Lloyd-Jones M, Oakley JE & Kanis JA (2005) Description of an individual patient methodology for calculating the cost-effectiveness of treatments for osteoporosis in women. J OPER RES SOC, 56(2), 214-221.
  • Stevenson M, Jones ML, De Nigris E, Brewer N, Davis S & Oakley J (2005) . Health Technology Assessment, 9(22).
  • Oakley JE & O'Hagan A (2004) Probabilistic sensitivity analysis of complex models: a Bayesian approach. J ROY STAT SOC B, 66, 751-769.
  • Tappenden P, Chilcott JB, Eggington S, Oakley J & McCabe C (2004) Methods for expected value of information analysis in complex health economic models: developments on the health economics of interferon-beta and glatiramer acetate for multiple sclerosis.. Health technology assessment (Winchester, England), 8(27).
  • Oakley J (2004) . Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series C Applied Statistics, 53(1), 83-93.
  • Stevenson MD, Oakley J & Chilcott JB (2004) . MED DECIS MAKING, 24(1), 89-100.
  • Oakley J & O'Hagan A (2002) . Biometrika, 89(4), 769-784.
  • Oakley J (2002) . Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series D the Statistician, 51(1), 81-97.
  • Alhussain ZA & Oakley JE () . Pharmaceutical Statistics.

Book chapters

  • Wilson KJ, Elfadaly FG, Garthwaite PH & Oakley JE (2021) , International Series in Operations Research & Management Science (pp. 19-51). Springer International Publishing
  • Oakley JE (2011) (pp. 51-67). Wiley
  • (2006) (pp. 223-226). Wiley
  • (2006) (pp. 193-216). Wiley
  • (2006) (pp. 25-31). Wiley
  • (2006) (pp. 121-151). Wiley
  • (2006) (pp. 1-24). Wiley
  • (2006) (pp. 179-192). Wiley
  • (2006) (pp. 153-160). Wiley
  • (2006) (pp. 161-177). Wiley
  • (2006) (pp. 97-119). Wiley
  • (2006) (pp. 61-96). Wiley
  • (2006) (pp. 227-265). Wiley
  • (2006) (pp. 33-59). Wiley

Conference proceedings

  • Jones OPH, Oakley JE & Purshouse RC (2022) . Proceedings of 2021 IEEE International Conference on Systems, Man, and Cybernetics (SMC) (pp 1399-1405). Melbourne, Australia, 17 October 2021 - 20 October 2021.
  • Geue C, Hawkins N, Oakley JE, Grieve R, Hernandez M & Carpenter J (2022) A FRAMEWORK FOR EXPERT ELICITATION RELATED TO COUNTERFACTUAL VALUES: A CASE STUDY OF ELICITATION TO INFORM SUBGROUP ANALYSES IN CLINICAL TRIALS. VALUE IN HEALTH, Vol. 25(1) (pp S274-S274)
  • Hawkins N, Geue C, Oakley J, Grieve R & Hernandez M (2020) AN EXPLORATION OF THE TRADE-OFF BETWEEN FALSE NEGATIVES AND FALSE POSITIVES WHEN IDENTIFYING SUBGROUP EFFECTS. MEDICAL DECISION MAKING, Vol. 40(1) (pp E266-E267)
  • Geue C, Hawkins N, Oakley J, Grieve R, Hernandez M & Carpenter J (2020) A FRAMEWORK FOR EXPERT ELICITATION TO INFORM SUBGROUP ANALYSES IN CLINICAL TRIALS. MEDICAL DECISION MAKING, Vol. 40(5) (pp E410-E411)
  • Jones OPH, Oakley JE & Purshouse RC (2019) Toward a unified framework for model calibration and optimisation in virtual engineering workflows. 2019 IEEE INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON SYSTEMS, MAN AND CYBERNETICS (SMC) (pp 3148-3153)
  • Jones O, Oakley JE & Purshouse R (2018) . Proceedings of the Genetic and Evolutionary Computation Conference (GECCO 2018) (pp 689-696). Kyoto, Japan, 15 July 2018 - 15 July 2018.
  • Ren S, Oakley JE & Stevens JW (2017) . Value in Health, Vol. 20(9) (pp A770-A770)
  • Malde S, Wyncoll D, Oakley J, Tozer N & Gouldby B (2016) . E3S Web of Conferences, Vol. 7 (pp 04002-04002)
  • Strong M, Brennan A & Oakley J (2015) . Value Health, Vol. 18(7) (pp A725-A726). Milan, Italy, 7 November 2015 - 7 November 2015.
  • Becker W, Rowson J, Oakley J, Yoxall A, Manson G & Worden K (2008) Bayesian sensitivity analysis of a large nonlinear model. Proceedings of ISMA 2008, Vol. 1-8 (pp 3723-3736). Belgium, 15 September 2008 - 15 September 2008.
  • Stevenson MD, Brazier JE, Calvert NW, Lloyd-Jones M, Oakley JE & Kanis JA (2004) The cost-effectiveness of bisphosphonates, raloxifene and teriparatide in women with a prior fracture, low BMD and replete of calcium and vitamin D. OSTEOPOROSIS INTERNATIONAL, Vol. 15 (pp S39-S39)
  • Stevenson MD, Brazier JE, Calvert NW, Lloyd-Jones M, Oakley JE & Kanis JA (2004) The cost-effectiveness of calcium and vitamin D in women with low dietary calcium intake. OSTEOPOROSIS INTERNATIONAL, Vol. 15 (pp S39-S40)
  • O'Hagan A & Oakley JE (2004) . RELIABILITY ENGINEERING & SYSTEM SAFETY, Vol. 85(1-3) (pp 239-248)
  • Stevenson MD, Brazier JE, Lloyd-Jones M, Calvert N, Oakley J & Kanis JA (2004) The cost-effectiveness of bisphosphonates, raloxifene and hormone replacement therapy in women with established osteoporosis and replete of calcium and vitamin D. OSTEOPOROSIS INTERNATIONAL, Vol. 15 (pp S111-S111)
  • Stevenson MD, Lloyd-Jones M, Brazier JE, Calvert N, Oakley J & Kanis JA (2004) The cost-effectiveness of calcium and vitamin D supplementation in women with low dietary intake of these nutrients and at risk of osteoporosis. OSTEOPOROSIS INTERNATIONAL, Vol. 15 (pp S87-S88)
  • Oakley J & O’Hagan A (2002) (pp 119-130)
  • Lopes S, Niranjan M & Oakley J (2001) (pp 497-500)
  • Coveney S, Corrado C, Roney C, D. Wilkinson R, Oakley J, niederer S & H. Clayton" R () . Computing in Cardiology Conference (CinC)
  • Corrado C, Williams S, Sim I, Coveney S, O'Neill M, Wilkinson R, Oakley J, Clayton R & Niederer S () . 2018 Computing in Cardiology Conference (CinC), Vol. 45. Maastricht, The Netherlands, 23 September 2018 - 23 September 2018.

Posters

  • Geue C, Hawkins N, Oakley JE, Grieve R, Hernandez M & Carpenter J (2022) POSB421 A Framework for Expert Elicitation Related to Counterfactual Values: A Case Study of Elicitation to Inform Subgroup Analyses in Clinical Trials..
  • Ren S, Oakley J & Stevens JW (2018) Evidence synthesis with limited studies. HTAi 2018, Vancouver, Canada.
  • Ren S, Oakley J & Stevens JW (2017) Evidence synthesis for health technology assessment with limited studies.. . ISPOR Glasgow 2017.

Other

  • Archer R, Ely J, Johnson J, Oakley J, Clark C, Butcher F, Dulfer H, Hughes A, Boyes B & Reese R (2025) .

Preprints

  • Regayre LA, Prévost LMC, Ghosh K, Johnson JS, Oakley JE, Owen J, Webb I & Carslaw KS (2025) , Copernicus GmbH.
  • Salsbury J, Oakley J, Julious S & Hampson L (2025) , arXiv.
  • Salsbury J, Oakley J, Julious S & Hampson L (2023) , arXiv.
  • Coveney S, Roney CH, Corrado C, Wilkinson RD, Oakley JE, Niederer SA & Clayton RH (2022) , arXiv.
  • Coveney S, Corrado C, Roney CH, O'Hare D, Williams SE, O'Neill MD, Niederer SA, Clayton RH, Oakley JE & Wilkinson RD (2020) , arXiv.
  • Ren S, Oakley JE & Stevens JW (2017) , arXiv.
  • Alhussain ZA & Oakley JE (2017) , arXiv.
  • Oakley JE & Youngman BD (2014) , arXiv.
Research group

Mathematical and Statistical Modelling

Grants

Current grants, as Coinvestigator

 
EPSRC

Past grants, as Principal Investigator

 
Gaussian Process Emulators for Numerical ModelsINO
EPSRC
Match+ 

Past grants, as Coinvestigator

 
Development of a fully Bayesian framework for the identification and estimation of subgroup effects in Randomised Controlled TrialsMRC
Calibration and analysis of complex models: methodological development and application to explore the impact of HAART in AfricaMRC
Managing Uncertainty in Complex Models 2 (MUCM2)EPSRC
EPSRC
EPSRC
EPSRC
NERC
EPSRC
NERC
NERC
Teaching activities
MAS113Introduction to Probability and Statistics